Next week will be record breaking in Northern Nevada, with 80’s likely for the first time this year. Not only will daily records be within reach, but also the warmest all-time record for the month of March. Reno usually sees its first 80 degree day in April, and first 85 degree day in May. Now is the time to make sure your air conditioning is working properly before the heat settles in. Fernley, Fallon, Lovelock, and Yerington will be feeling the heat as well. Reno's average high this time of year is 58 degrees, not 80.
Can't ask for better hiking weather in Tahoe but remember the sunscreen. Winds will be light overall next week, but gusting near 30 mph on Saturday as a weak front moves through. Highs will still be in the 70’s though. It’s possible South Tahoe and Tahoe City could break records on Tuesday as well.
High pressure is the culprit for the warm temperatures, with warmer air building south of I-80. Southern California and Nevada could break records too. The higher and stronger the ridge, the warmer temperatures can be. Especially if the center of the ridge is right over you. A ridge allows for air compression, dry air, and sunshine. Key ingredients for warm air to build in.
The odds of having a strong area of high pressure on Tuesday is 90% according to the GFS model and it’s individual ensemble members.
There is strength in numbers, and not only are the deterministic models showing temperatures well above average next week, but there ensembles are too. Ensembles are different runs of the same model.Â
This increases forecaster confidence of a warming trend with record breaking warmth likely.
